Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242862           1           0          65          30           4        C6.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102723           2          15          62          16           5        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   5.54000e-07           1           0          71          24           4        C5.6
est. ISN   =       54.0000           2          19          62          17           0        C2.5
 
together                             1.00        8.75       65.25       21.75        3.25     C3.9
 
realized                                                                                      C6.8