Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242835           1           0          65          30           4        C6.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00101727           2          14          68          14           2        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   4.84000e-07           2           1          69          27           1        C5.4
est. ISN   =       33.0000           7          48          32          13           0        B8.9
 
together                             2.75       16.00       58.50       21.00        1.75     C3.7
 
realized                                                                                      C2.8