Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00248347           2           3          59          29           7        C6.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106993           3           4          71          18           4        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   7.68000e-07           1           0          50          42           7        C9.9
est. ISN   =       22.0000           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                             3.25       15.25       53.75       23.25        4.50     C4.2
 
realized                                                                                      M3.0