Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00244747           1           2          59          37           1        C6.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102531           2          14          64          16           4        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   5.78000e-07           1           0          66          30           3        C6.6
est. ISN   =       12.0000          21          58          19           2           0        B2.9
 
together                             5.75       18.75       52.25       21.25        2.00     C3.3
 
realized                                                                                      M9.2