Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241680           1           2          64          27           6        C5.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000971130           3          17          54          21           5        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   5.21000e-07           2           0          64          31           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =       22.0000           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                             3.25       18.50       54.00       20.75        3.50     C3.1
 
realized                                                                                      C2.5