Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237619           1           7          65          23           4        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000894414           2          34          49          13           2        C1.9
GOES Xray  =   4.21000e-07           1           1          81          15           2        C3.3
est. ISN   =       18.0000          18          59          20           3           0        B3.2
 
together                             5.25       25.50       53.75       13.50        2.00     C2.3
 
realized                                                                                      M5.8