Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236941           2          12          61          20           5        C4.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000883344           1          36          52          11           0        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   4.16000e-07           1           2          79          16           2        C3.0
est. ISN   =       22.0000           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                             2.75       26.25       56.50       12.75        1.75     C2.4
 
realized                                                                                      M5.1