Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238599           2           4          70          18           6        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000903392           3          29          49          16           3        C2.1
GOES Xray  =   5.24000e-07           2           0          64          31           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =       44.0000           4          28          60           7           1        C1.5
 
together                             2.75       15.25       60.75       18.00        3.25     C3.1
 
realized                                                                                      M4.2