Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233577           3          15          60          20           2        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000876383           4          38          48          10           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   3.26000e-07           4          10          73          13           0        C2.1
est. ISN   =       39.0000           5          47          41           6           1        B9.6
 
together                             4.00       27.50       55.50       12.25        0.75     C1.8
 
realized                                                                                      C2.2