Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235989           2          13          57          24           4        C4.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000903279           3          28          50          16           3        C2.1
GOES Xray  =   4.01000e-07           1           3          78          17           1        C3.1
est. ISN   =       17.0000          17          63          17           3           0        B2.9
 
together                             5.75       26.75       50.50       15.00        2.00     C2.1
 
realized                                                                                      C7.9