Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237596           1           7          66          22           4        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000937463           1          21          51          24           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   4.10000e-07           1           1          79          17           2        C3.0
est. ISN   =       18.0000          18          59          20           3           0        B3.2
 
together                             4.75       22.50       54.00       16.50        2.25     C2.4
 
realized                                                                                      C1.7