Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238111           1           5          68          19           7        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000957801           3          15          57          22           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   4.09000e-07           1           1          80          17           1        C3.0
est. ISN   =       60.0000           3          17          61          18           1        C3.2
 
together                             1.75        9.75       66.50       19.00        3.00     C3.3
 
realized                                                                                      C1.3