Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240079           1           6          64          22           7        C4.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100102           2          12          64          18           4        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   4.34000e-07           1           1          81          15           2        C3.3
est. ISN   =       87.0000           1           0          66          28           5        C6.0
 
together                             0.75        5.00       69.00       20.75        4.50     C4.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.5