Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240682           1           6          63          24           6        C4.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00101000           2          12          66          18           2        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   4.48000e-07           1           1          82          14           2        C4.1
est. ISN   =       79.0000           1           4          65          26           4        C5.0
 
together                             1.25        5.75       69.00       20.50        3.50     C4.1
 
realized                                                                                      C8.7