Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240697           1           6          63          24           6        C4.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100819           2          12          65          18           3        C3.8
GOES Xray  =   4.31000e-07           1           1          79          17           2        C3.3
est. ISN   =       79.0000           1           4          65          26           4        C5.0
 
together                             1.00        6.00       68.00       21.25        3.75     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      C2.8