Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242080           1           2          63          28           6        C5.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102662           2          15          63          15           5        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   4.76000e-07           3           1          71          24           1        C5.2
est. ISN   =       75.0000           1          10          50          35           4        C7.0
 
together                             1.50        7.25       61.75       25.50        4.00     C4.4
 
realized                                                                                      C1.8