Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00247501           1           4          51          39           5        C8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108630           3           4          72          18           3        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   6.78000e-07           1           0          57          36           6        C8.5
est. ISN   =       57.0000           2          20          62          15           1        C2.7
 
together                             1.75        7.00       60.50       27.00        3.75     C5.4
 
realized                                                                                      C2.4