Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00250071           3           2          67          22           6        C5.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00112483           2           5          62          29           2        C4.7
GOES Xray  =   7.20000e-07           1           0          55          34          10        C8.6
est. ISN   =       53.0000           1          17          63          18           1        C2.5
 
together                             1.75        6.00       61.75       25.75        4.75     C5.0
 
realized                                                                                      C3.2