Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00247214           1           4          53          37           5        C7.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108205           2           3          74          18           3        C4.7
GOES Xray  =   6.51000e-07           1           0          62          31           6        C8.3
est. ISN   =       43.0000           4          35          54           5           2        C1.3
 
together                             2.00       10.50       60.75       22.75        4.00     C4.7
 
realized                                                                                      C4.7