Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242044           1           2          64          27           6        C5.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103785           3          13          61          15           8        C3.4
GOES Xray  =   4.32000e-07           1           1          81          15           2        C3.1
est. ISN   =       31.0000           5          47          40           8           0        B9.8
 
together                             2.00       16.25       61.50       16.25        4.00     C3.0
 
realized                                                                                      B7.5