Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241421           1           3          62          27           7        C4.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102376           3          14          64          15           4        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   4.20000e-07           1           1          82          14           2        C3.1
est. ISN   =       28.0000           7          54          32           7           0        B6.3
 
together                             2.50       18.50       60.00       15.75        3.25     C2.6
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)