Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241148           1           5          65          23           6        C4.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103693           3          12          61          16           8        C3.4
GOES Xray  =   3.91000e-07           1           3          75          20           1        C3.2
est. ISN   =       25.0000           7          55          32           6           0        B6.5
 
together                             3.00       18.75       58.25       16.25        3.75     C2.9
 
realized                                                                                      C1.3