Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241257           1           3          65          25           6        C4.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103706           3          12          62          15           8        C3.4
GOES Xray  =   4.04000e-07           1           2          77          19           1        C3.1
est. ISN   =       21.0000          12          52          33           3           0        B6.5
 
together                             3.75       17.75       59.25       15.50        3.75     C2.6
 
realized                                                                                      C1.7