Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241282           1           3          64          25           7        C4.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00101976           3          13          63          17           4        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   3.96000e-07           1           4          75          19           1        C3.2
est. ISN   =       42.0000           5          36          52           5           2        C1.3
 
together                             2.25       14.25       63.50       16.50        3.50     C2.7
 
realized                                                                                      C3.8