Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240130           1           6          64          22           7        C4.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000985984           4          14          58          19           5        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   4.47000e-07           1           1          82          14           2        C4.1
est. ISN   =       42.0000           5          36          52           5           2        C1.3
 
together                             2.75       14.25       64.00       15.00        4.00     C3.0
 
realized                                                                                      C3.0