Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238685           2           4          72          16           6        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000959198           3          17          56          21           3        C2.4
GOES Xray  =   3.96000e-07           1           4          75          19           1        C3.2
est. ISN   =       38.0000           6          50          37           7           0        B8.8
 
together                             3.00       18.75       60.00       15.75        2.50     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      C3.0