Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229906           1          21          60          16           2        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000843627           6          52          36           6           0        B8.1
GOES Xray  =   2.19000e-07           2          44          48           6           0        C1.1
est. ISN   =       32.0000           4          46          38          12           0        C1.0
 
together                             3.25       40.75       45.50       10.00        0.50     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      M1.4