Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241622           1           3          64          26           6        C5.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100440           2          12          66          17           3        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   6.01000e-07           1           0          66          30           3        C6.8
est. ISN   =       31.0000           5          47          40           8           0        B9.8
 
together                             1.75       15.75       59.25       20.25        3.00     C3.7
 
realized                                                                                      C4.7