Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00247495           1           4          51          39           5        C8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00109490           4           3          71          21           1        C4.6
GOES Xray  =   7.24000e-07           1           0          55          34          10        C8.6
est. ISN   =       77.0000           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             1.75        4.00       59.00       30.50        4.75     C6.5
 
realized                                                                                      C4.7