Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00245407           1           2          62          35           0        C6.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108851           3           3          71          21           2        C4.7
GOES Xray  =   6.21000e-07           1           0          66          29           4        C6.4
est. ISN   =       77.0000           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             1.00        3.75       64.75       28.25        2.25     C5.2
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)