Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00247325           1           4          52          38           5        C8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00111790           2           5          63          28           2        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   6.58000e-07           1           0          61          32           6        C8.4
est. ISN   =       86.0000           1           0          61          32           6        C7.0
 
together                             1.25        2.25       59.25       32.50        4.75     C6.7
 
realized                                                                                      C5.7