Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242469           1           1          62          30           6        C6.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00107628           1           4          72          21           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   4.94000e-07           3           1          61          34           1        C6.1
est. ISN   =       87.0000           1           0          66          28           5        C6.0
 
together                             1.00        1.75       65.50       28.25        3.50     C5.7
 
realized                                                                                      C2.6