Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00245435           1           2          62          35           0        C6.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00114033           1           4          63          29           3        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   5.31000e-07           1           0          66          30           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =       99.0000           1           1          67          26           5        C6.1
 
together                             0.50        2.25       64.50       30.00        2.75     C5.9
 
realized                                                                                      C2.4