Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00250978           3           4          68          21           4        C4.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00119542           1           3          62          31           3        C5.6
GOES Xray  =   7.29000e-07           1           0          52          38           9        C9.5
est. ISN   =       96.0000           1           0          64          29           6        C6.5
 
together                             1.25        1.75       61.75       29.75        5.50     C6.5
 
realized                                                                                      M4.0