Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00246803           1           4          52          38           5        C7.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00111834           2           5          62          29           2        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   6.25000e-07           1           0          65          31           3        C6.8
est. ISN   =       64.0000           4          11          58          25           2        C3.6
 
together                             1.75        5.00       59.50       30.75        3.00     C5.3
 
realized                                                                                      C2.1