Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242917           1           0          66          29           4        C6.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106237           3           4          70          17           6        C4.2
GOES Xray  =   5.05000e-07           2           1          63          33           1        C6.0
est. ISN   =       52.0000           1          18          65          15           1        C2.1
 
together                             1.50        6.00       66.00       23.50        3.00     C4.4
 
realized                                                                                      C1.9