Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237612           1           7          66          22           4        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000984622           4          14          59          18           5        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   3.45000e-07           3           6          74          17           0        C2.4
est. ISN   =       42.0000           5          36          52           5           2        C1.3
 
together                             3.25       15.75       62.75       15.50        2.75     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      C1.4