Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232476           3          16          60          19           2        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000878439           2          39          48          11           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   2.69000e-07           1          34          59           6           0        C1.4
est. ISN   =       11.0000          22          58          18           2           0        B2.8
 
together                             7.00       36.75       46.25        9.50        0.50     C1.2
 
realized                                                                                      C1.1