Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232000           3          16          56          23           2        C3.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000878000           3          39          48          10           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   2.07000e-07           2          46          46           6           0        C1.0
est. ISN   =       15.0000          19          62          17           2           0        B2.8
 
together                             6.75       40.75       41.75       10.25        0.50     C1.0
 
realized                                                                                      C2.3