Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236000           2          14          56          24           4        C4.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000922000           2          22          51          23           2        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   2.38000e-07           3          32          57           8           0        C1.4
est. ISN   =       22.0000           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                             3.75       30.50       49.50       14.75        1.50     C1.9
 
realized                                                                                      B8.8