Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239580           1           5          72          17           5        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000966682           3          19          53          21           4        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   5.36000e-07           1           0          68          28           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =       75.0000           1          10          50          35           4        C7.0
 
together                             1.50        8.50       60.75       25.25        4.00     C4.6
 
realized                                                                                      C8.0