Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241678           1           2          65          26           6        C5.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000984026           4          14          59          18           5        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   6.67000e-07           1           0          61          32           6        C7.7
est. ISN   =       74.0000           1           8          55          33           3        C6.6
 
together                             1.50        6.25       60.00       27.25        5.00     C5.6
 
realized                                                                                      X2.7