Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241246           1           4          65          24           6        C4.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000996154           2          13          63          18           4        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   6.46000e-07           1           0          63          30           6        C7.7
est. ISN   =       89.0000           1           0          75          20           4        C4.6
 
together                             1.25        4.25       66.50       23.00        5.00     C5.0
 
realized                                                                                      M1.9