Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239891           1           6          67          21           5        C4.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000995689           2          13          63          18           4        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   5.86000e-07           1           0          68          28           3        C6.8
est. ISN   =       101.000           1           1          67          26           5        C5.5
 
together                             1.00        5.00       66.50       23.25        4.25     C4.9
 
realized                                                                                      C5.0