Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241593           1           3          65          25           6        C4.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102784           2          15          62          16           5        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   5.89000e-07           1           0          69          27           3        C6.6
est. ISN   =       105.000           1           1          65          26           7        C6.4
 
together                             0.75        5.00       65.50       23.50        5.25     C5.0
 
realized                                                                                      C5.5