Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243332           1           0          66          29           4        C5.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108884           4           3          71          20           2        C4.6
GOES Xray  =   5.53000e-07           1           0          71          24           4        C5.6
est. ISN   =       96.0000           1           0          64          29           6        C6.5
 
together                             1.00        0.75       68.75       25.50        4.00     C5.5
 
realized                                                                                      C7.4