Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00246247           1           3          57          37           2        C6.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00112228           2           5          63          28           2        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   6.39000e-07           1           0          65          29           5        C6.8
est. ISN   =       109.000           1           0          59          33           7        C8.2
 
together                             0.50        2.25       61.50       31.75        4.00     C6.4
 
realized                                                                                      C2.4