Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00247292           1           4          52          38           5        C8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00117193           1           0          65          30           4        C5.0
GOES Xray  =   6.26000e-07           1           0          65          31           3        C6.8
est. ISN   =       112.000           1           0          56          35           8        C8.4
 
together                             0.50        1.00       60.00       33.50        5.00     C6.8
 
realized                                                                                      C2.5