Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00248271           2           3          57          31           7        C6.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00117648           1           1          65          30           3        C5.1
GOES Xray  =   6.32000e-07           1           0          65          30           4        C6.6
est. ISN   =       127.000           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.75        1.00       60.00       33.00        5.25     C6.8
 
realized                                                                                      C9.1