Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242776           1           0          65          30           4        C6.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00109828           3           2          68          25           2        C4.7
GOES Xray  =   4.86000e-07           2           1          67          29           1        C5.4
est. ISN   =       90.0000           1           0          74          20           5        C4.7
 
together                             1.50        1.00       68.50       26.00        3.00     C5.0
 
realized                                                                                      C2.5